Is the General Aviation Industry Finally on an Upswing?

Over the accomplished three decades, there’s been a abiding abatement in the amount of U.S. pilots. According to the Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association (AOPA), there were 827,000 active, certificated pilots in 1980. By 2011, that amount had alone to just 617,000. During that aforementioned 30-year period, assembly of single-engine planes alone from 14,000 per year to beneath than 700.

But for the accomplished three years, AOPA has fabricated compassionate this crumbling trend and abandoning it a top priority. AOPA accomplishments cover developing a arrangement of aerial clubs, and speaking out in Washington to advice accumulate the ascent amount and complication of aerodynamics beneath control.

Thankfully, 2013 numbers are advertence a absolute upswing, based on abstracts from the Accepted Aerodynamics Manufacturers Association’s (GAMA) 2013 Accepted Aerodynamics Statistical Databook & 2014 Industry Outlook.

Here’s a attending at what’s been causing the pilot and assembly decline, and acceptable account from GAMA’s 2013/2014 aerodynamics industry report.

What’s been causing the decline?

According to a Washington Post commodity acquaint February 9 titled, “Small aerodynamics businesses say pilot curtailment could drive industry into the ground,” there are a array of factors that accept contributed to the abatement in pilots and assembly over the accomplished decades, including ascent ammunition prices and acute aerial restrictions afterward the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

One acumen is that the contempo bread-and-butter abatement has larboard beneath humans with arbitrary income. Others abode abundant of the accusation on federal regulators, whom they allege of authoritative it too difficult for pilots to access and renew their licenses, which in about-face hurts baby aerodynamics businesses and the aerodynamics industry as a whole.

Many bartering pilots appear from the GA pilot pool, and the all-around airline industry will charge about a bisected actor new bartering airline pilots over the next 20 years, according to the Boeing Pilot and Technical Bazaar Outlook for 2013-2032.

Good account from GAMA’s 2013/2014 industry report

Here are some absolute numbers from GAMA’s anniversary statistical databook.

Airplane shipments and billings – In 2013, aeroplane shipments added by 4.3 percent to 2,256 aeroplane deliveries, and billings added 24 percent to $23.4 billion beyond all aeroplane types. This is the second-highest industry announcement amount anytime recorded-the industry’s aiguille billings occurred in 2008 at $24.8 billion.

Business jets – After slowing the accomplished four years, the business jet bazaar counterbalanced in 2013. There were 678 business jets delivered in 2013, up from 672 in 2012. Several new models and accretion appeal helped balance the bazaar and access deliveries.

North American bazaar allotment rose to 52.4 percent from 49.7 percent in 2012. Europe’s bazaar allotment declined, however, from 20.8 percent in 2012 to 15.6 percent in 2013. Customer deliveries included 11.9 percent to barter in the Asia-Pacific region, 11.1 percent to Latin America, and 9.0 percent to the Middle East and Africa.

Turboprops – Turbo-propeller even shipments aswell grew in 2013, accretion to 645 shipments from 584 shipments in 2012, a 10.4 percent increase. Shipments of agronomical turboprops, which GAMA began tracking in 2011, remained strong. Traditional single- and twin-engine turboprop shipments provided year-over-year increases in assemblage deliveries. North American barter took 57.1 percent of turboprop aeroplane deliveries in 2013, up from 48.6 percent in 2012. The Asia Pacific arena took the second-largest bazaar allotment at 14 percent, followed by Latin American at 13.2 percent. European barter took supply of 10.5 percent, and the Middle East and Africa accounted for 5.3 percent.

Turbine helicopters – The agent helicopter articulation provided absolute supply achievement in 2013 based on assay of agnate companies from 2012. GAMA articular 782 agent helicopter shipments in 2013, which is an access of 9.2 percent compared to the above-mentioned year for the aforementioned advertisement companies. In this year’s databook, GAMA has broadcast the accessible actual abstracts about helicopter shipments with baddest advice from 1999 through 2013.

Piston aeroplane and helicopter deliveries – Feedback from aeroplane and helicopter manufacturers indicates that all-around appeal from flight schools is accidental to year-over-year growth. Agent aeroplane deliveries totaled 933 shipments in 2013, up from 908 shipments in 2012, a 2.8 percent increase. North America ordered 52.8 percent of agent engine airplanes, Europe 17.2 percent, followed by the Asia-Pacific arena at 15.1 percent, Latin America at 10 percent, and the Middle East and Africa at 5 percent of shipments. In 2013, the accepted aerodynamics industry delivered 335 piston-powered helicopters, which was a slight access from the 328 units delivered in 2012.

Turbine operators – According to JETNET, LLC, the apportioned agile of agent operators fell to 869 aircraft in 2013, abbreviating anniversary year back 2008, the year it ailing at 1,094 aircraft. There were 4,365 apportioned owners in 2013, which is aswell down compared to 5 years ago, if there were 5,179 owners. The common agent aeroplane agile included 33,861 airplanes in 2013 and an added 19,509 agent helicopters.

Pilot citizenry falling – The alive U.S. pilot citizenry continues to fall. The clandestine pilot citizenry has beneath back the aboriginal 1980s, if it ailing at 357,479 pilots, and in contempo years has absent amid 5,000 and 10,000 alive pilots anniversary year. There were alone 180,214 clandestine pilots at the end of 2013, and a absolute of 599,086 absolute alive pilots in the U.S. in 2013. One ablaze spot: 40,621, or 6.78 percent, were female-the accomplished arrangement of changeable aviators on record.

Signs assurance is convalescent – A acceptable decrease: The FAA’s basic abstracts about accepted aerodynamics assurance shows there were about 216 baleful accidents during the year, a double-digit abatement in the amount of baleful accepted aerodynamics accidents during 2013. While abstracts is preliminary, the FAA’s ambition of abbreviation the GA baleful blow amount to one baleful blow per 100,000 hours aureate may be accessible to accomplish by 2018.

GAMA aswell includes GA assurance abstracts developed by the European Aerodynamics Assurance Agency (EASA) for 2006 through 2012. EASA statistics from 2012 aswell appearance a abatement in the absolute amount of accidents and the amount of baleful accidents.

References:

http://www.aopa.org/Community-and-Events/Center-to-Advance-the-Pilot-Community

http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/on-small-business/small-aviation-businesses-say-pilot-shortage-could-drive-industry-into-the-ground/2014/02/08/2422cadc-8f5c-11e3-b46a-5a3d0d2130da_story.html

– aerospace industry outlook 2018